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Analytical issues addressed by Hindenburg were raised a few months ago in the following Forum distribution, which provided a link to the authors' full research report that included detailed comparative performance data for Icahn Enterprises:

 

Source: Bloomberg, May 2, 2023, article and video


 


Wealth

 

Icahn Hit by Hindenburg Short as Activist Becomes Target

 

 
  • Famed activist says firm’s performance will speak for itself

  • Icahn shares slump 20% in biggest one-day decline on record


watch

WATCH: Shares in billionaire Carl Icahn’s investment firm plunged 20% in a record one day drop after a negative report by short seller Hindenburg Research.

Source: Bloomberg

 

By Breanna Bradham

May 2, 2023 at 8:44 AM EDT Updated on May 2, 2023 at 4:29 PM ED

Carl Icahn, the famed activist investor who’s made a career out of starting corporate brawls, found himself on the receiving end of criticism Tuesday after Hindenburg Research disclosed a short call against his investment firm.

Shares of Icahn Enterprises LP closed down 20% in the biggest one-day drop on record, after Hindenburg claimed in a lengthy report that the company is overpriced, and said it found evidence of inflated valuations for some of its assets.

Icahn hit back at Hindenburg hours after the report came out, saying that the firm’s performance would “speak for itself over the long term as it always has.”

“We stand by our public disclosures,” Icahn said in a statement. “We believe strongly in hedging our positions to mitigate risk, especially in markets that we are living in today,” Icahn added.

“We think Icahn, a legend of Wall Street, has made a classic mistake of taking on too much leverage in the face of sustained losses: a combination that rarely ends well,” Hindenburg said in the report.

The missive pits Icahn, 87, against Hindenburg’s founder Nathan Anderson, who has made a name for his research firm in recent years by targeting corporate giants like payments company Block Inc. and billionaire Gautam Adani’s business empire.

 

In Tuesday’s report, Hindenburg claimed Icahn Enterprises’ value is inflated by 75% or more, noting that it trades at a premium of more than 200% to its net asset value. Other closed-end holding companies like Dan Loeb’s Third Point and Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square trade at discounts to their NAV, according to Hindenburg.

The report also raises questions about the size of Icahn Enterprises’ dividend yield and the way in which it has been financed in recent years.

“Icahn has been using money taken in from new investors to pay out dividends to old investors,” Hindenburg said in the report. “Such Ponzi-like economic structures are sustainable only to the extent that new money is willing to risk being the last one ‘holding the bag.’”

 

Carl Icahn in 2015  Photographer: Victor J. Blue/

Hindenburg’s report also singled out Jefferies Financial Group Inc., which it said is the only large investment bank that publishes research coverage on Icahn Enterprises. Jefferies analyst Daniel Fannon currently has a ‘buy’ rating on the stock, with a target price of $70.

“Jefferies’ research assumes in all cases, even in its bear case, that IEP’s dividend will be safe ‘into perpetuity’, despite providing no support for that assumption,” Hindenburg wrote. Representatives for Jefferies didn’t have an immediate comment.

While Hindenburg has been active since 2018, when Anderson incorporated the company from an apartment in New York, Icahn has been stalking the corporate world for around 50 years. He wrote Tuesday that Icahn Enterprises continues “to believe that activism is the best paradigm for investing.”

A decade ago, he and activist hedge-fund manager Bill Ackman went to war over Herbalife Ltd., with Ackman calling the nutritional-supplements company’s model a pyramid scheme and going public with a $1 billion short bet. Icahn, who at one point owned almost a quarter of Herbalife’s shares, defended the multilevel-marketing model and publicly assailed Ackman for years — on stages and television, in documentaries and online — after an initial CNBC phone-in argument between the two billionaires.

Ackman weighed in on the Hindenburg report via Twitter on Tuesday, calling it a “must read.”

In 2015, a debate at a Delivering Alpha conference between Icahn and BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink quickly devolved into a verbal slugfest. Icahn called an open letter by Fink, which argued that corporate CEOs shouldn’t repurchase shares just to satisfy activists, a “sales pitch for BlackRock” and called the firm “an extremely dangerous company” over its exchange-traded funds.

More recently, Icahn has battled with DNA-sequencing company Illumina Inc., saying the board of the company set a “new low” in governance by pursuing its acquisition of Grail Inc. over antitrust regulators’ objections. In a meeting with Illumina CEO Francis deSouza and Chairman John Thompson in early March, Icahn was quoted as saying he “would not even support Jesus Christ” as an independent candidate over his board nominees who “answer to me.”

Icahn said later that month that Illumina had “taken out of context certain things that were supposedly said” during discussions meant to be private “in the hopes of achieving peace rather than war.”

On average, companies targeted by Hindenburg fell about 15% the day after a negative report appeared and were down 26% six months later, according to February calculations by Bloomberg News.

— With assistance by Katherine Burton

(Updates chart, shares throughout to reflect market close.)



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